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© 2026 PropChangeBuilt on Solana

Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seat Contracts limit behavior; they do not guarantee profit.

OperationalRisk Engine 14msEpoch ends in —Solanaslot —· 0.4s
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
DocsFees--:--:-- UTC
StrategiesSeat MarketLeaderboardHow it worksFees
Strategiesselin.dqETH Breakout

ETH Breakout

ActiveCryptoBybit
SDselin.dqVerified·Breakout · intradayView trader
Return 12m
+21.5%
472 days of history
Max drawdown
13.1%
Current 0.7%
Sortino
1.64
Sharpe 1.14 · PSR 0.90
Compliance
10/15
67% of Epochs kept
Risk score
68
68 · Medium
Capacity used
69%
71/103 seats · $310k
OverviewAnalyticsSimulatorSeat ContractCapacity & SeatsFollowers' resultsEpochs

Trade analytics

Last 367 closed trades · risk measured at the initial stop

Avg risk / trade
1.03%
median 1.04% · max 1.31%
Avg planned R:R
1 : 1.61
target distance ÷ stop distance
Realized R:R
1 : 1.63
avg win +1.37R · avg loss −0.84R
Expectancy
+0.30R
per trade
SQN
2.62
Good
Kelly fraction
21.7%
optimal f · use ¼–½ in practice
Win rate
51.5%
profit factor 1.73
Consecutive W / L
7 / 6
longest streaks
Largest win / loss
+2.2R / −1.5R
Avg hold
9.9h / 11.3h
winners / losers
Avg MAE / MFE
0.62R / 1.04R
adverse / favorable excursion
Capture ratio
84%
of MFE kept by winners

R-multiple distribution

How many trades ended at each multiple of initial risk

Cumulative R

Trade-by-trade equity in R units · total +109.6R

Risk per trade

% of equity at risk on each trade, with the average line

Performance by time

Total R by day of week or close hour (UTC)

Long vs short

LongShort
Trades205162
Win rate52%51%
Expectancy+0.30R+0.30R
Total R+60.8R+48.8R
Equity PnL+66.8%+49.6%

Recent trades

ClosedInstrumentRiskPlan R:RResultHold
Oct 6, 00:57SUI long1.11%1:1.9−0.67R3.3h
Oct 3, 22:00ETH short1.01%1:1.4+0.80R4.9h
Oct 3, 15:04ETH short0.89%1:1.4+1.46R3.4h
Oct 2, 16:24ETH long1.08%1:1.7−0.96R5.9h
Sep 28, 18:56ETH short1.16%1:1.8+1.13R3.5h
Sep 27, 17:21ETH long1.02%1:1.4−1.01R3.3d
Sep 24, 18:39SUI long1.13%1:1.9−0.82R10.9h
Sep 21, 16:01ETH long1.19%1:1.9+1.86R0.7h
Sep 20, 04:09SUI long1.07%1:1.5+1.64R2.3h
Sep 18, 23:50ETH long1.19%1:1.9+1.87R4.1h
Sep 15, 06:25SUI short0.81%1:1.5+1.53R0.9h
Sep 14, 12:12SUI long1.10%1:1.9−1.05R6.9h

Performance statistics

Based on 367 trades over 472 days. Metric set v1.4 · recomputable from raw exchange data.

Trailing returns

Strategy NAV, realized follower results after costs, and BTC over the same windows

Period1W1M3M6MYTD1YAll
Strategy+0.6%+3.5%+5.1%+14.0%+21.6%+21.5%+24.8%
Followers+0.6%+3.5%+4.9%+13.6%+20.9%+20.6%+23.6%
BTC+0.4%+1.0%+11.3%+71.2%+55.7%+69.5%+125.5%
Excess vs BTC+0.2%+2.5%−6.2%−57.2%−34.1%−48.0%−100.6%

Returns

Return 1m
+3.5%
Return 3m
+5.1%
Return 12m
+21.5%
Return since start
+24.8%
CAGR
+18.7%

Risk

Max drawdown
13.1%
Volatility (ann.)
16.2%
Downside deviation
11.2%
Ulcer index
4.20%
VaR / CVaR 95% (daily)
1.32% / 1.87%
VaR / CVaR 99% (daily)
2.36% / 3.08%
Longest time under water
122 days
Max / avg leverage
4.7x / 2.1x
Top-3 trades share of PnL
24%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
1.14
Sortino
1.64
Calmar
1.43
Recovery factor
1.89
Probabilistic Sharpe (PSR)
0.90
Omega ratio
1.17
Gain-to-pain
0.17

Trades

Trades
367
Win rate
49%
Payoff ratio
1.49
Profit factor
1.43
Expectancy
2 bps
Tail ratio
3.3
Avg holding time
11.3 h

Consistency

Profitable months
65%
Equity curve R²
0.78
Longest losing streak
8 days
Skew / kurtosis
-0.32 / 4.5
Consistency score
54/100

Benchmark (vs BTC)

Beta
0.14
Alpha (ann.)
+7.3%
Correlation / R²
0.49 / 0.24
Up / down capture
15% / 13%
Tracking error
50.1%
Information ratio
-1.20

Strategy vs BTC

Daily return pairs with the regression fit (slope = beta), and how beta and correlation change over time

Daily return pair365 daysFit · β0.14

BTC daily return →

Rolling 90-day beta & correlation
Oct 6, 2026Beta0.12Correlation0.41

Rolling risk-adjusted performance

90-day rolling Sharpe ratio and annualized volatility, synced

Oct 6, 2026Sharpe 90d1.42Volatility 90d14.8%
Volatility (ann.)

Return distribution

Daily returns vs a fitted normal curve — bars beyond the curve are fat-tail days

Up daysDown daysNormal fitVaR 95%−1.32%

Worst drawdowns

The five deepest peak-to-trough episodes and how long recovery took

#DepthPeakTroughRecoveredDeclineRecovery
1
−13.1%
Sep 19, 2025Nov 23, 2025Jan 20, 202665 d58 d
2
−10.4%
Apr 1, 2026May 23, 2026Jun 23, 202652 d31 d
3
−6.8%
Feb 1, 2026Feb 23, 2026Mar 22, 202622 d27 d
4
−5.7%
Jul 27, 2026Sep 10, 2026Oct 2, 202645 d22 d
5
−4.8%
Jun 23, 2025Jul 17, 2025Aug 5, 202524 d19 d

Day-of-week profile

Average daily return and share of up days by weekday

Share of up days
47%
56%
51%
55%
54%
58%
53%

Exposure

Gross exposure, % of equity (last 120 days), and where it sits

Gross exposure73% of equityPeak276%
Average share of exposure
  • ETH64% · 97.7%
  • SUI36% · 54.3%

Performance by instrument

Share of net PnL

Seat price30 days
53.22USDC

Price rises as seats fill · locked for your term

Copy up to $3,000

1
Base price
43.00 USDC / 30d
Term factor (30/30)^0.9
× 1.000
Occupancy factor 1 + 0.5 × 68.9%²
× 1.238
Total
53.22 USDC
71/103 seats32 free
  • Held in escrow until Oct 21, 2026
  • Released to the trader if the Seat Contract is kept
  • Refunded to you if the contract is breached
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