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© 2026 PropChangeBuilt on Solana

Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seat Contracts limit behavior; they do not guarantee profit.

OperationalRisk Engine 14msEpoch ends in —Solanaslot —· 0.4s
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
DocsFees--:--:-- UTC
StrategiesSeat MarketLeaderboardHow it worksFees
Strategiesaisha.kETH Trend Core

ETH Trend Core

ActiveCryptoBinance
AKaisha.kVerified+·Trend · daysView trader
Return (all)
+53.3%
302 days of history
Max drawdown
20.7%
Current 0.1%
Sortino
3.05
Sharpe 1.97 · PSR 0.96
Compliance
9/10
90% of Epochs kept
Risk score
52
52 · Medium
Capacity used
22%
24/110 seats · $330k
OverviewAnalyticsSimulatorSeat ContractCapacity & SeatsFollowers' resultsEpochs

Trade analytics

Last 30 closed trades · risk measured at the initial stop

Avg risk / trade
0.85%
median 0.86% · max 1.09%
Avg planned R:R
1 : 1.72
target distance ÷ stop distance
Realized R:R
1 : 1.51
avg win +1.37R · avg loss −0.91R
Expectancy
−0.07R
per trade
SQN
-0.34
Poor
Kelly fraction
0.0%
optimal f · use ¼–½ in practice
Win rate
36.7%
profit factor 0.87
Consecutive W / L
2 / 7
longest streaks
Largest win / loss
+2.0R / −1.4R
Avg hold
2.4d / 3.0d
winners / losers
Avg MAE / MFE
0.74R / 0.74R
adverse / favorable excursion
Capture ratio
88%
of MFE kept by winners

R-multiple distribution

How many trades ended at each multiple of initial risk

Cumulative R

Trade-by-trade equity in R units · total −2.2R

Risk per trade

% of equity at risk on each trade, with the average line

Performance by time

Total R by day of week or close hour (UTC)

Long vs short

LongShort
Trades1218
Win rate50%28%
Expectancy+0.21R−0.26R
Total R+2.5R−4.6R
Equity PnL+1.0%−2.6%

Recent trades

ClosedInstrumentRiskPlan R:RResultHold
Oct 3, 21:43BTC short0.84%1:1.9−1.28R2.2d
Oct 1, 17:48ETH short0.66%1:1.7−1.01R0.7h
Sep 18, 16:24ETH short0.73%1:1.9−0.78R1.7d
Sep 6, 23:15BTC long0.70%1:1.3+1.30R4.0d
Aug 18, 08:14SOL short0.87%1:1.4−0.89R7.9h
Aug 12, 13:46XRP long0.69%1:1.8+1.38R1.4d
Aug 8, 12:35ETH long0.83%1:2.0−1.02R1.9d
Aug 6, 22:21BTC long1.09%1:2.0−0.78R1.0d
Jul 30, 12:56ETH short0.66%1:2.0−1.00R17.1h
Jul 4, 04:09BTC short1.04%1:1.9+1.05R1.2d
Jul 4, 00:36SOL long0.74%1:1.4+1.17R1.7d
Jun 28, 03:39ETH long0.99%1:1.4−1.02R3.3d

Performance statistics

Based on 30 trades over 302 days. Metric set v1.4 · recomputable from raw exchange data.Thin sample — treat with caution

Trailing returns

Strategy NAV, realized follower results after costs, and BTC over the same windows

Period1W1M3M6MYTDAll
Strategy+1.4%+16.5%+18.6%+37.0%+39.6%+53.3%
Followers+1.4%+16.5%+18.6%+37.0%+39.5%+53.2%
BTC+0.4%+1.0%+11.3%+71.2%+55.7%+94.0%
Excess vs BTC+1.0%+15.5%+7.3%−34.2%−16.1%−40.7%

Returns

Return 1m
+16.5%
Return 3m
+18.6%
Return 12m
Insufficient data
Return since start
+53.3%
CAGR
+67.6%

Risk

Max drawdown
20.7%
Volatility (ann.)
28.3%
Downside deviation
18.2%
Ulcer index
8.89%
VaR / CVaR 95% (daily)
2.19% / 2.75%
VaR / CVaR 99% (daily)
3.34% / 3.63%
Longest time under water
150 days
Max / avg leverage
4.1x / 1.8x
Top-3 trades share of PnL
20%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
1.97
Sortino
3.05
Calmar
3.27
Recovery factor
2.57
Probabilistic Sharpe (PSR)
0.96
Omega ratio
1.29
Gain-to-pain
0.29

Trades

Trades
30
Win rate
45%
Payoff ratio
1.56
Profit factor
1.28
Expectancy
37 bps
Tail ratio
2.9
Avg holding time
3.1 d

Consistency

Profitable months
64%
Equity curve R²
0.51
Longest losing streak
7 days
Skew / kurtosis
0.05 / 2.8
Consistency score
67/100

Benchmark (vs BTC)

Beta
0.21
Alpha (ann.)
+36.0%
Correlation / R²
0.41 / 0.16
Up / down capture
25% / 16%
Tracking error
51.4%
Information ratio
-0.78

Strategy vs BTC

Daily return pairs with the regression fit (slope = beta), and how beta and correlation change over time

Daily return pair302 daysFit · β0.21

BTC daily return →

Rolling 90-day beta & correlation
Oct 6, 2026Beta0.18Correlation0.36

Rolling risk-adjusted performance

90-day rolling Sharpe ratio and annualized volatility, synced

Oct 6, 2026Sharpe 90d2.79Volatility 90d26.0%
Volatility (ann.)

Return distribution

Daily returns vs a fitted normal curve — bars beyond the curve are fat-tail days

Up daysDown daysNormal fitVaR 95%−2.19%

Worst drawdowns

The five deepest peak-to-trough episodes and how long recovery took

#DepthPeakTroughRecoveredDeclineRecovery
1
−20.7%
Jan 30, 2026May 23, 2026Jun 30, 2026113 d38 d
2
−14.2%
Jul 16, 2026Aug 15, 2026Sep 19, 202630 d35 d
3
−4.4%
Jan 10, 2026Jan 14, 2026Jan 18, 20264 d4 d
4
−2.7%
Jan 19, 2026Jan 21, 2026Jan 26, 20262 d5 d
5
−2.4%
Jan 27, 2026Jan 28, 2026Jan 30, 20261 d2 d

Day-of-week profile

Average daily return and share of up days by weekday

Share of up days
56%
48%
47%
47%
63%
65%
63%

Exposure

Gross exposure, % of equity (last 120 days), and where it sits

Gross exposure84% of equityPeak90%
Average share of exposure
  • ETH49% · 24.7%
  • SOL24% · 12.1%
  • BTC14% · 6.8%
  • XRP13% · 6.5%

Performance by instrument

Share of net PnL

Seat price30 days
30.71USDC

Price rises as seats fill · locked for your term

Copy up to $3,000

1
Base price
30.00 USDC / 30d
Term factor (30/30)^0.9
× 1.000
Occupancy factor 1 + 0.5 × 21.8%²
× 1.024
Total
30.71 USDC
24/110 seats86 free
  • Held in escrow until Oct 13, 2026
  • Released to the trader if the Seat Contract is kept
  • Refunded to you if the contract is breached
Trade Seats on the Seat Market→ Simulate with your Risk Engine→

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from
30.71 USDC