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© 2026 PropChangeBuilt on Solana

Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seat Contracts limit behavior; they do not guarantee profit.

OperationalRisk Engine 14msEpoch ends in —Solanaslot —· 0.4s
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
DocsFees--:--:-- UTC
StrategiesSeat MarketLeaderboardHow it worksFees
Strategiesnordic.quantGlobal Macro Trend

Global Macro Trend

ActiveFuturesMT5
NQnordic.quantVerified+·Trend · 1–4 week holdsView trader
Return 12m
+16.3%
760 days of history
Max drawdown
8.4%
Current 2.0%
Sortino
1.29
Sharpe 0.91 · PSR 0.90
Compliance
20/21
95% of Epochs kept
Risk score
26
26 · Low
Capacity used
52%
412/800 seats · $2.4M
OverviewAnalyticsSimulatorSeat ContractCapacity & SeatsFollowers' resultsEpochs

Trade analytics

Last 290 closed trades · risk measured at the initial stop

Avg risk / trade
0.58%
median 0.58% · max 0.73%
Avg planned R:R
1 : 2.45
target distance ÷ stop distance
Realized R:R
1 : 2.44
avg win +2.09R · avg loss −0.86R
Expectancy
+0.50R
per trade
SQN
3.34
Excellent
Kelly fraction
24.2%
optimal f · use ¼–½ in practice
Win rate
46.2%
profit factor 2.10
Consecutive W / L
7 / 7
longest streaks
Largest win / loss
+3.4R / −1.4R
Avg hold
14.5d / 12.4d
winners / losers
Avg MAE / MFE
0.64R / 1.38R
adverse / favorable excursion
Capture ratio
83%
of MFE kept by winners

R-multiple distribution

How many trades ended at each multiple of initial risk

Cumulative R

Trade-by-trade equity in R units · total +146.4R

Risk per trade

% of equity at risk on each trade, with the average line

Performance by time

Total R by day of week or close hour (UTC)

Long vs short

LongShort
Trades154136
Win rate49%43%
Expectancy+0.58R+0.42R
Total R+89.6R+56.9R
Equity PnL+49.4%+35.4%

Recent trades

ClosedInstrumentRiskPlan R:RResultHold
Oct 2, 19:15GER40 short0.63%1:2.6−0.78R0.7h
Oct 2, 09:54NAS100 short0.62%1:2.7−0.72R3.6d
Oct 2, 22:50GER40 short0.68%1:2.4+1.58R6.0h
Sep 30, 15:41US500 short0.52%1:2.9−0.72R3.9d
Sep 29, 10:23US500 long0.51%1:2.5+2.50R28.0d
Sep 29, 01:37US500 long0.68%1:2.1−0.77R7.5d
Sep 29, 13:36US500 long0.69%1:2.2+1.70R15.7h
Sep 28, 20:55NAS100 short0.45%1:2.7+2.50R17.9d
Sep 25, 09:40US500 long0.53%1:2.9−0.71R9.5d
Sep 21, 22:42GER40 long0.52%1:2.5+2.85R21.9d
Sep 16, 18:43GER40 long0.47%1:3.0+3.08R12.7h
Sep 14, 02:32NAS100 short0.61%1:2.1+1.47R4.0d

Performance statistics

Based on 290 trades over 760 days. Metric set v1.4 · recomputable from raw exchange data.

Trailing returns

Strategy NAV, realized follower results after costs, and BTC over the same windows

Period1W1M3M6MYTD1YAll
Strategy−0.8%+2.0%+4.9%+12.0%+16.4%+16.3%+18.6%
Followers−0.8%+2.0%+4.9%+12.0%+16.3%+16.2%+18.3%
BTC+0.4%+1.0%+11.3%+71.2%+55.7%+69.5%+186.1%
Excess vs BTC−1.2%+1.0%−6.3%−59.2%−39.3%−53.2%−167.5%

Returns

Return 1m
+2.0%
Return 3m
+4.9%
Return 12m
+16.3%
Return since start
+18.6%
CAGR
+8.5%

Risk

Max drawdown
8.4%
Volatility (ann.)
9.5%
Downside deviation
6.7%
Ulcer index
3.44%
VaR / CVaR 95% (daily)
0.81% / 1.10%
VaR / CVaR 99% (daily)
1.23% / 1.59%
Longest time under water
236 days
Max / avg leverage
2.6x / 1.2x
Top-3 trades share of PnL
13%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.91
Sortino
1.29
Calmar
1.02
Recovery factor
2.21
Probabilistic Sharpe (PSR)
0.90
Omega ratio
1.13
Gain-to-pain
0.13

Trades

Trades
290
Win rate
43%
Payoff ratio
2.30
Profit factor
1.74
Expectancy
3 bps
Tail ratio
2.1
Avg holding time
12.5 d

Consistency

Profitable months
58%
Equity curve R²
0.76
Longest losing streak
9 days
Skew / kurtosis
-0.29 / 3.8
Consistency score
80/100

Benchmark (vs BTC)

Beta
0.03
Alpha (ann.)
+6.9%
Correlation / R²
0.15 / 0.02
Up / down capture
3% / 2%
Tracking error
54.7%
Information ratio
-1.04

Strategy vs BTC

Daily return pairs with the regression fit (slope = beta), and how beta and correlation change over time

Daily return pair365 daysFit · β0.03

BTC daily return →

Rolling 90-day beta & correlation
Oct 6, 2026Beta0.04Correlation0.20

Rolling risk-adjusted performance

90-day rolling Sharpe ratio and annualized volatility, synced

Oct 6, 2026Sharpe 90d2.07Volatility 90d9.7%
Volatility (ann.)

Return distribution

Daily returns vs a fitted normal curve — bars beyond the curve are fat-tail days

Up daysDown daysNormal fitVaR 95%−0.81%

Worst drawdowns

The five deepest peak-to-trough episodes and how long recovery took

#DepthPeakTroughRecoveredDeclineRecovery
1
−8.4%
Dec 11, 2024Apr 28, 2025Aug 5, 2025138 d99 d
2
−7.4%
Sep 9, 2024Oct 31, 2024Dec 8, 202452 d38 d
3
−6.2%
Nov 8, 2025Dec 31, 2025Jun 12, 202653 d163 d
4
−3.2%
Aug 29, 2025Oct 8, 2025Oct 18, 202540 d10 d
5
−2.6%
Jul 14, 2026Aug 5, 2026Aug 17, 202622 d12 d

Day-of-week profile

Average daily return and share of up days by weekday

Share of up days
53%
51%
44%
56%
54%
60%
55%

Exposure

Gross exposure, % of equity (last 120 days), and where it sits

Gross exposure81% of equityPeak89%
Average share of exposure
  • US50053% · 27.4%
  • JP22520% · 10.2%
  • GER4018% · 9.2%
  • NAS10010% · 5%

Performance by instrument

Share of net PnL

Seat price30 days
29.45USDC

Price rises as seats fill · locked for your term

Copy up to $3,000

1
Base price
26.00 USDC / 30d
Term factor (30/30)^0.9
× 1.000
Occupancy factor 1 + 0.5 × 51.5%²
× 1.133
Total
29.45 USDC
412/800 seats388 free
  • Held in escrow until Oct 23, 2026
  • Released to the trader if the Seat Contract is kept
  • Refunded to you if the contract is breached
Trade Seats on the Seat Market→ Simulate with your Risk Engine→

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from
29.45 USDC