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© 2026 PropChangeBuilt on Solana

Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seat Contracts limit behavior; they do not guarantee profit.

OperationalRisk Engine 14msEpoch ends in —Solanaslot —· 0.4s
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
DocsFees--:--:-- UTC
StrategiesSeat MarketLeaderboardHow it worksFees
Strategiesarjun.mIndex Trend

Index Trend

ActiveFuturesMT5
AMarjun.mVerified+·Index trend · weeksView trader
Return 12m
+34.5%
649 days of history
Max drawdown
15.2%
Current 2.3%
Sortino
4.07
Sharpe 2.49 · PSR 1.00
Compliance
17/21
81% of Epochs kept
Risk score
36
36 · Low
Capacity used
16%
54/336 seats · $1M
OverviewAnalyticsSimulatorSeat ContractCapacity & SeatsFollowers' resultsEpochs

Trade analytics

Last 30 closed trades · risk measured at the initial stop

Avg risk / trade
0.65%
median 0.66% · max 0.82%
Avg planned R:R
1 : 1.99
target distance ÷ stop distance
Realized R:R
1 : 2.17
avg win +1.83R · avg loss −0.84R
Expectancy
+0.58R
per trade
SQN
2.30
Good
Kelly fraction
31.8%
optimal f · use ¼–½ in practice
Win rate
53.3%
profit factor 2.48
Consecutive W / L
7 / 3
longest streaks
Largest win / loss
+2.6R / −1.0R
Avg hold
16.6d / 16.9d
winners / losers
Avg MAE / MFE
0.61R / 1.36R
adverse / favorable excursion
Capture ratio
82%
of MFE kept by winners

R-multiple distribution

How many trades ended at each multiple of initial risk

Cumulative R

Trade-by-trade equity in R units · total +17.5R

Risk per trade

% of equity at risk on each trade, with the average line

Performance by time

Total R by day of week or close hour (UTC)

Long vs short

LongShort
Trades1614
Win rate63%43%
Expectancy+0.72R+0.43R
Total R+11.5R+6.0R
Equity PnL+7.6%+4.2%

Recent trades

ClosedInstrumentRiskPlan R:RResultHold
Oct 5, 15:40NAS100 short0.78%1:1.6−1.05R10.5d
Jul 24, 21:45US500 short0.64%1:2.1+2.44R8.7d
Jul 20, 01:49JP225 long0.65%1:1.8−0.94R27.4d
Jul 13, 20:55JP225 long0.73%1:2.2+2.07R8.3d
Jul 6, 11:24US500 long0.82%1:1.8−0.95R21.0d
Jun 26, 15:01JP225 long0.82%1:1.9+1.87R21.1d
Jun 15, 22:41US500 short0.75%1:1.8+1.88R43.9d
Jun 11, 01:56NAS100 long0.54%1:2.3+1.40R1.2d
Mar 19, 04:48JP225 short0.71%1:2.2−0.89R16.2d
Mar 13, 22:11NAS100 short0.61%1:1.9−0.69R4.7d
Mar 6, 03:24JP225 short0.59%1:2.3+2.63R6.1d
Mar 5, 06:32NAS100 long0.53%1:1.8−0.85R16.0d

Performance statistics

Based on 30 trades over 649 days. Metric set v1.4 · recomputable from raw exchange data.Thin sample — treat with caution

Trailing returns

Strategy NAV, realized follower results after costs, and BTC over the same windows

Period1W1M3M6MYTD1YAll
Strategy+2.6%+15.2%+35.8%+29.6%+31.2%+34.5%+134.1%
Followers+2.6%+15.2%+35.8%+29.6%+31.1%+34.5%+134.0%
BTC+0.4%+1.0%+11.3%+71.2%+55.7%+69.5%+228.6%
Excess vs BTC+2.2%+14.2%+24.5%−41.6%−24.6%−35.0%−94.5%

Returns

Return 1m
+15.2%
Return 3m
+35.8%
Return 12m
+34.5%
Return since start
+134.1%
CAGR
+61.3%

Risk

Max drawdown
15.2%
Volatility (ann.)
20.0%
Downside deviation
12.3%
Ulcer index
5.45%
VaR / CVaR 95% (daily)
1.37% / 1.99%
VaR / CVaR 99% (daily)
2.87% / 3.45%
Longest time under water
157 days
Max / avg leverage
2.9x / 1.3x
Top-3 trades share of PnL
15%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
2.49
Sortino
4.07
Calmar
4.04
Recovery factor
8.82
Probabilistic Sharpe (PSR)
1.00
Omega ratio
1.41
Gain-to-pain
0.41

Trades

Trades
30
Win rate
43%
Payoff ratio
1.85
Profit factor
1.40
Expectancy
51 bps
Tail ratio
2.4
Avg holding time
17.9 d

Consistency

Profitable months
74%
Equity curve R²
0.78
Longest losing streak
7 days
Skew / kurtosis
0.40 / 6.7
Consistency score
77/100

Benchmark (vs BTC)

Beta
0.04
Alpha (ann.)
+46.8%
Correlation / R²
0.10 / 0.01
Up / down capture
10% / −2%
Tracking error
57.1%
Information ratio
-0.57

Strategy vs BTC

Daily return pairs with the regression fit (slope = beta), and how beta and correlation change over time

Daily return pair365 daysFit · β0.04

BTC daily return →

Rolling 90-day beta & correlation
Oct 5, 2026Beta0.01Correlation0.03

Rolling risk-adjusted performance

90-day rolling Sharpe ratio and annualized volatility, synced

Oct 5, 2026Sharpe 90d5.67Volatility 90d22.0%
Volatility (ann.)

Return distribution

Daily returns vs a fitted normal curve — bars beyond the curve are fat-tail days

Up daysDown daysNormal fitVaR 95%−1.37%

Worst drawdowns

The five deepest peak-to-trough episodes and how long recovery took

#DepthPeakTroughRecoveredDeclineRecovery
1
−15.2%
Mar 10, 2026Jul 28, 2026Aug 15, 2026140 d18 d
2
−8.1%
Dec 23, 2025Jan 14, 2026Mar 6, 202622 d51 d
3
−6.3%
Jun 17, 2025Jun 26, 2025Jul 1, 20259 d5 d
4
−4.9%
Nov 9, 2025Nov 17, 2025Dec 8, 20258 d21 d
5
−4.6%
Apr 4, 2025Apr 9, 2025Apr 24, 20255 d15 d

Day-of-week profile

Average daily return and share of up days by weekday

Share of up days
58%
58%
53%
53%
57%
51%
46%

Exposure

Gross exposure, % of equity (last 120 days), and where it sits

Gross exposure98% of equityPeak124%
Average share of exposure
  • JP22558% · 51%
  • US50017% · 15.3%
  • GER4013% · 11.6%
  • NAS10012% · 10.3%

Performance by instrument

Share of net PnL

Seat price30 days
32.41USDC

Price rises as seats fill · locked for your term

Copy up to $3,000

1
Base price
32.00 USDC / 30d
Term factor (30/30)^0.9
× 1.000
Occupancy factor 1 + 0.5 × 16.1%²
× 1.013
Total
32.41 USDC
54/336 seats282 free
  • Held in escrow until Oct 28, 2026
  • Released to the trader if the Seat Contract is kept
  • Refunded to you if the contract is breached
Trade Seats on the Seat Market→ Simulate with your Risk Engine→

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from
32.41 USDC