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© 2026 PropChangeBuilt on Solana

Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seat Contracts limit behavior; they do not guarantee profit.

OperationalRisk Engine 14msEpoch ends in —Solanaslot —· 0.4s
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
DocsFees--:--:-- UTC
StrategiesSeat MarketLeaderboardHow it worksFees
Strategiessamir.aIndex Trend v2

Index Trend v2

ActiveFuturesMT5
SAsamir.aVerified+·Index trend · weeksView trader
Return 12m
+17.4%
768 days of history
Max drawdown
7.4%
Current 0.7%
Sortino
2.69
Sharpe 1.77 · PSR 0.99
Compliance
23/25
92% of Epochs kept
Risk score
35
35 · Low
Capacity used
52%
140/270 seats · $810k
OverviewAnalyticsSimulatorSeat ContractCapacity & SeatsFollowers' resultsEpochs

Trade analytics

Last 30 closed trades · risk measured at the initial stop

Avg risk / trade
0.67%
median 0.66% · max 0.82%
Avg planned R:R
1 : 2.43
target distance ÷ stop distance
Realized R:R
1 : 2.09
avg win +1.82R · avg loss −0.87R
Expectancy
+0.48R
per trade
SQN
1.85
Average
Kelly fraction
26.1%
optimal f · use ¼–½ in practice
Win rate
50.0%
profit factor 2.09
Consecutive W / L
4 / 5
longest streaks
Largest win / loss
+2.8R / −1.5R
Avg hold
20.8d / 15.4d
winners / losers
Avg MAE / MFE
0.63R / 1.31R
adverse / favorable excursion
Capture ratio
84%
of MFE kept by winners

R-multiple distribution

How many trades ended at each multiple of initial risk

Cumulative R

Trade-by-trade equity in R units · total +14.3R

Risk per trade

% of equity at risk on each trade, with the average line

Performance by time

Total R by day of week or close hour (UTC)

Long vs short

LongShort
Trades1614
Win rate38%64%
Expectancy+0.16R+0.84R
Total R+2.5R+11.8R
Equity PnL+2.0%+8.1%

Recent trades

ClosedInstrumentRiskPlan R:RResultHold
Sep 4, 22:07NAS100 long0.55%1:2.4−0.96R7.6d
Sep 4, 04:18US500 long0.71%1:2.1+1.39R1.6d
Aug 21, 10:47JP225 long0.79%1:2.8−0.96R1.1d
May 22, 22:37NAS100 long0.52%1:2.0−0.95R18.8d
May 18, 10:10NAS100 long0.69%1:2.6−0.69R9.0d
May 15, 18:32NAS100 long0.57%1:2.4+2.13R7.6d
Mar 18, 15:39US500 short0.73%1:2.5+2.14R24.4d
Mar 6, 08:20NAS100 short0.60%1:2.0+1.84R11.4d
Jan 16, 15:12NAS100 long0.77%1:2.4+1.79R8.6d
Jan 2, 07:01NAS100 long0.82%1:3.0−0.74R3.3d
Dec 16, 04:33US500 short0.82%1:2.2+1.51R14.4d
Dec 5, 03:12NAS100 short0.63%1:2.2+1.27R36.9d

Performance statistics

Based on 30 trades over 768 days. Metric set v1.4 · recomputable from raw exchange data.Thin sample — treat with caution

Trailing returns

Strategy NAV, realized follower results after costs, and BTC over the same windows

Period1W1M3M6MYTD1YAll
Strategy−0.6%+1.3%+5.0%+8.7%+12.4%+17.4%+17.7%
Followers−0.6%+1.3%+5.0%+8.6%+12.4%+17.4%+17.7%
BTC+0.4%+1.0%+11.3%+71.2%+55.7%+69.5%+195.5%
Excess vs BTC−0.9%+0.3%−6.3%−62.6%−43.3%−52.1%−177.8%

Returns

Return 1m
+1.3%
Return 3m
+5.0%
Return 12m
+17.4%
Return since start
+17.7%
CAGR
+8.0%

Risk

Max drawdown
7.4%
Volatility (ann.)
4.4%
Downside deviation
2.9%
Ulcer index
2.97%
VaR / CVaR 95% (daily)
0.36% / 0.46%
VaR / CVaR 99% (daily)
0.54% / 0.63%
Longest time under water
404 days
Max / avg leverage
2.8x / 1.3x
Top-3 trades share of PnL
15%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
1.77
Sortino
2.69
Calmar
1.09
Recovery factor
2.39
Probabilistic Sharpe (PSR)
0.99
Omega ratio
1.26
Gain-to-pain
0.26

Trades

Trades
30
Win rate
42%
Payoff ratio
2.36
Profit factor
1.71
Expectancy
31 bps
Tail ratio
2.4
Avg holding time
18.1 d

Consistency

Profitable months
67%
Equity curve R²
0.71
Longest losing streak
8 days
Skew / kurtosis
0.01 / 3.2
Consistency score
73/100

Benchmark (vs BTC)

Beta
0.01
Alpha (ann.)
+7.3%
Correlation / R²
0.10 / 0.01
Up / down capture
2% / 0%
Tracking error
55.2%
Information ratio
-1.07

Strategy vs BTC

Daily return pairs with the regression fit (slope = beta), and how beta and correlation change over time

Daily return pair365 daysFit · β0.01

BTC daily return →

Rolling 90-day beta & correlation
Oct 6, 2026Beta0.01Correlation0.16

Rolling risk-adjusted performance

90-day rolling Sharpe ratio and annualized volatility, synced

Oct 6, 2026Sharpe 90d4.70Volatility 90d4.2%
Volatility (ann.)

Return distribution

Daily returns vs a fitted normal curve — bars beyond the curve are fat-tail days

Up daysDown daysNormal fitVaR 95%−0.36%

Worst drawdowns

The five deepest peak-to-trough episodes and how long recovery took

#DepthPeakTroughRecoveredDeclineRecovery
1
−7.4%
Nov 5, 2024Feb 17, 2025Dec 15, 2025104 d301 d
2
−2.7%
Feb 17, 2026Mar 14, 2026Mar 29, 202625 d15 d
3
−1.6%
Apr 4, 2026Apr 25, 2026May 28, 202621 d33 d
4
−1.2%
Sep 8, 2024Sep 18, 2024Oct 2, 202410 d14 d
5
−1.1%
Jul 17, 2026Jul 27, 2026Aug 15, 202610 d19 d

Day-of-week profile

Average daily return and share of up days by weekday

Share of up days
47%
55%
58%
55%
55%
55%
56%

Exposure

Gross exposure, % of equity (last 120 days), and where it sits

Gross exposure130% of equityPeak147%
Average share of exposure
  • NAS10067% · 54.6%
  • US50023% · 18.5%
  • JP22510% · 8.4%

Performance by instrument

Share of net PnL

Seat price30 days
43.11USDC

Price rises as seats fill · locked for your term

Copy up to $3,000

1
Base price
38.00 USDC / 30d
Term factor (30/30)^0.9
× 1.000
Occupancy factor 1 + 0.5 × 51.9%²
× 1.134
Total
43.11 USDC
140/270 seats130 free
  • Held in escrow until Nov 2, 2026
  • Released to the trader if the Seat Contract is kept
  • Refunded to you if the contract is breached
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