Last 112 closed trades · risk measured at the initial stop
How many trades ended at each multiple of initial risk
Trade-by-trade equity in R units · total +23.2R
% of equity at risk on each trade, with the average line
Total R by day of week or close hour (UTC)
| Long | Short | |
|---|---|---|
| Trades | 60 | 52 |
| Win rate | 67% | 62% |
| Expectancy | +0.23R | +0.18R |
| Total R | +14.0R | +9.2R |
| Equity PnL | +8.2% | +5.1% |
| Closed | Instrument | Risk | Plan R:R | Result | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 09:15 | GBPUSD short | 0.71% | 1:0.8 | +0.48R | 0.6h |
| Oct 5, 07:16 | GBPUSD short | 0.67% | 1:1.1 | −0.99R | 0.1h |
| Oct 5, 11:13 | EURUSD short | 0.54% | 1:1.1 | +1.29R | 0.2h |
| Oct 2, 13:48 | GBPUSD short | 0.68% | 1:1.0 | +0.84R | 0.9h |
| Oct 2, 11:17 | GBPUSD long | 0.60% | 1:1.1 | +0.66R | 3.0h |
| Oct 2, 07:47 | EURUSD short | 0.77% | 1:0.9 | +0.63R | 0.3h |
| Oct 2, 12:41 | EURUSD long | 0.52% | 1:0.9 | +0.84R | 1.1h |
| Oct 1, 11:57 | GBPUSD long | 0.74% | 1:0.8 | +0.64R | 0.1h |
| Sep 30, 07:27 | GBPUSD long | 0.57% | 1:0.8 | +0.63R | 1.9h |
| Sep 29, 10:32 | EURUSD short | 0.59% | 1:1.2 | +1.31R | 1.9h |
| Sep 28, 12:30 | EURUSD short | 0.65% | 1:1.2 | −1.02R | 0.9h |
| Sep 25, 11:30 | GBPUSD short | 0.50% | 1:0.9 | +1.07R | 0.1h |
Strategy NAV, realized follower results after costs, and BTC over the same windows
| Period | 1W | 1M | YTD | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | +2.7% | +5.8% | +6.1% | +6.1% |
| Followers | +2.7% | +5.7% | +6.0% | +6.0% |
| BTC | +0.4% | +1.0% | +5.5% | +5.5% |
| Excess vs BTC | +2.4% | +4.8% | +0.6% | +0.6% |
Daily return pairs with the regression fit (slope = beta), and how beta and correlation change over time
BTC daily return →
Needs at least 90 days of history.
90-day rolling Sharpe ratio and annualized volatility, synced
Needs at least 90 days of history.
Daily returns vs a fitted normal curve — bars beyond the curve are fat-tail days
The five deepest peak-to-trough episodes and how long recovery took
| # | Depth | Peak | Trough | Recovered | Decline | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | −3.1% | Jul 27, 2026 | Sep 7, 2026 | Sep 20, 2026 | 42 d | 13 d |
| 2 | −1.1% | Sep 27, 2026 | Sep 29, 2026 | Oct 4, 2026 | 2 d | 5 d |
| 3 | −0.3% | Oct 5, 2026 | Oct 6, 2026 | Ongoing | 1 d | — |
| 4 | −0.1% | Jul 22, 2026 | Jul 23, 2026 | Jul 24, 2026 | 1 d | 1 d |
| 5 | −0.1% | Jul 16, 2026 | Jul 18, 2026 | Jul 19, 2026 | 2 d | 1 d |
Average daily return and share of up days by weekday
Gross exposure, % of equity (last 120 days), and where it sits
Share of net PnL