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© 2026 PropChangeBuilt on Solana

Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seat Contracts limit behavior; they do not guarantee profit.

OperationalRisk Engine 14msEpoch ends in —Solanaslot —· 0.4s
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
DocsFees--:--:-- UTC
StrategiesSeat MarketLeaderboardHow it worksFees
Strategieslucas.mMajors Liquidity

Majors Liquidity

FullCryptoBybit
LMlucas.mVerified+·Market-making style · minutesView trader
Return (all)
+15.2%
360 days of history
Max drawdown
4.6%
Current 0.0%
Sortino
3.24
Sharpe 2.06 · PSR 0.98
Compliance
11/11
100% of Epochs kept
Risk score
22
22 · Low
Capacity used
100%
40/40 seats · $120k
OverviewAnalyticsSimulatorSeat ContractCapacity & SeatsFollowers' resultsEpochs

Trade analytics

Last 400 closed trades · risk measured at the initial stop

Avg risk / trade
0.54%
median 0.54% · max 0.68%
Avg planned R:R
1 : 0.92
target distance ÷ stop distance
Realized R:R
1 : 0.89
avg win +0.77R · avg loss −0.86R
Expectancy
+0.21R
per trade
SQN
2.61
Good
Kelly fraction
26.9%
optimal f · use ¼–½ in practice
Win rate
65.5%
profit factor 1.70
Consecutive W / L
13 / 7
longest streaks
Largest win / loss
+1.3R / −1.4R
Avg hold
0.3h / 0.3h
winners / losers
Avg MAE / MFE
0.55R / 0.75R
adverse / favorable excursion
Capture ratio
84%
of MFE kept by winners

R-multiple distribution

How many trades ended at each multiple of initial risk

Cumulative R

Trade-by-trade equity in R units · total +82.9R

Risk per trade

% of equity at risk on each trade, with the average line

Performance by time

Total R by day of week or close hour (UTC)

Long vs short

LongShort
Trades225175
Win rate64%67%
Expectancy+0.19R+0.23R
Total R+42.6R+40.3R
Equity PnL+23.4%+21.3%

Recent trades

ClosedInstrumentRiskPlan R:RResultHold
Oct 6, 08:38SOL short0.64%1:0.8+0.80R0.5h
Oct 6, 09:56BTC short0.64%1:0.8−1.05R0.6h
Oct 6, 19:26BTC long0.58%1:1.1−0.98R0.1h
Oct 6, 12:24BTC long0.54%1:0.8+0.62R0.2h
Oct 6, 20:40ETH short0.68%1:0.8+0.77R0.4h
Oct 6, 02:44BTC short0.62%1:0.8+0.92R0.5h
Oct 6, 15:45BTC long0.65%1:0.9−0.93R0.2h
Oct 6, 12:58BTC long0.43%1:0.8+0.52R0.1h
Oct 5, 10:50ETH short0.59%1:0.8+0.80R0.5h
Oct 5, 23:59BTC long0.44%1:0.9+0.53R0.6h
Oct 5, 16:24BTC short0.66%1:0.8+0.54R0.7h
Oct 5, 22:16ETH long0.58%1:0.9−1.44R0.2h

Performance statistics

Based on 9,100 trades over 360 days. Metric set v1.4 · recomputable from raw exchange data.

Trailing returns

Strategy NAV, realized follower results after costs, and BTC over the same windows

Period1W1M3M6MYTDAll
Strategy+1.8%+3.2%+4.8%+6.1%+15.2%+15.2%
Followers+1.5%+2.0%+1.1%−1.3%+2.9%−0.4%
BTC+0.4%+1.0%+11.3%+71.2%+55.7%+70.3%
Excess vs BTC+1.5%+2.2%−6.4%−65.1%−40.5%−55.1%

Returns

Return 1m
+3.2%
Return 3m
+4.8%
Return 12m
Insufficient data
Return since start
+15.2%
CAGR
+15.4%

Risk

Max drawdown
4.6%
Volatility (ann.)
7.1%
Downside deviation
4.5%
Ulcer index
1.47%
VaR / CVaR 95% (daily)
0.55% / 0.71%
VaR / CVaR 99% (daily)
0.88% / 1.04%
Longest time under water
115 days
Max / avg leverage
3x / 1.4x
Top-3 trades share of PnL
12%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
2.06
Sortino
3.24
Calmar
3.35
Recovery factor
3.30
Probabilistic Sharpe (PSR)
0.98
Omega ratio
1.32
Gain-to-pain
0.32

Trades

Trades
9,100
Win rate
66%
Payoff ratio
0.85
Profit factor
1.65
Expectancy
2 bps
Tail ratio
2.0
Avg holding time
0.3 h

Consistency

Profitable months
69%
Equity curve R²
0.85
Longest losing streak
4 days
Skew / kurtosis
0.11 / 3.3
Consistency score
85/100

Benchmark (vs BTC)

Beta
-0.01
Alpha (ann.)
+15.0%
Correlation / R²
-0.05 / 0.00
Up / down capture
2% / −2%
Tracking error
57.9%
Information ratio
-0.96

Strategy vs BTC

Daily return pairs with the regression fit (slope = beta), and how beta and correlation change over time

Daily return pair360 daysFit · β-0.01

BTC daily return →

Rolling 90-day beta & correlation
Oct 6, 2026Beta-0.02Correlation-0.14

Rolling risk-adjusted performance

90-day rolling Sharpe ratio and annualized volatility, synced

Oct 6, 2026Sharpe 90d2.79Volatility 90d7.0%
Volatility (ann.)

Return distribution

Daily returns vs a fitted normal curve — bars beyond the curve are fat-tail days

Up daysDown daysNormal fitVaR 95%−0.55%

Worst drawdowns

The five deepest peak-to-trough episodes and how long recovery took

#DepthPeakTroughRecoveredDeclineRecovery
1
−4.6%
Jun 4, 2026Jul 23, 2026Sep 28, 202649 d67 d
2
−2.6%
May 2, 2026May 19, 2026Jun 4, 202617 d16 d
3
−2.2%
Oct 30, 2025Nov 10, 2025Nov 30, 202511 d20 d
4
−2.2%
Dec 18, 2025Jan 5, 2026Jan 13, 202618 d8 d
5
−1.8%
Dec 1, 2025Dec 8, 2025Dec 15, 20257 d7 d

Day-of-week profile

Average daily return and share of up days by weekday

Share of up days
50%
67%
47%
51%
59%
45%
62%

Exposure

Gross exposure, % of equity (last 120 days), and where it sits

Gross exposure27% of equityPeak126%
Average share of exposure
  • ETH47% · 36.9%
  • BTC29% · 22.6%
  • SOL25% · 19.4%

Performance by instrument

Share of net PnL

Seat price30 days
82.50USDC

Price rises as seats fill · locked for your term

Copy up to $3,000

1
Base price
55.00 USDC / 30d
Term factor (30/30)^0.9
× 1.000
Occupancy factor 1 + 0.5 × 100.0%²
× 1.500
Total
82.50 USDC
40/40 seatsFull · 41 waitlist
  • Held in escrow until Oct 12, 2026
  • Released to the trader if the Seat Contract is kept
  • Refunded to you if the contract is breached
or buy from holders on the Seat Market
Trade Seats on the Seat Market→ Simulate with your Risk Engine→

Minimum account size $1,000 · What is a Seat?

from
82.50 USDC