PropChange
Powered by Solana
PropChange
/
Log inSign up

Community

Community hub →

Markets

  • Seat Market
  • Strategies

Learn

  • How it works
  • Fees
  • FAQ
  • Glossary

For traders

  • Leaderboard
  • Become a trader
  • Seat Contracts
  • Capacity
  • Referral

Support

  • Help Center
  • Status
  • Contact us

Company

  • About
  • Community hub
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Risk disclosure
© 2026 PropChangeBuilt on Solana

Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seat Contracts limit behavior; they do not guarantee profit.

OperationalRisk Engine 14msEpoch ends in —Solanaslot —· 0.4s
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
DocsFees--:--:-- UTC
StrategiesSeat MarketLeaderboardHow it worksFees
Strategieslukas.fNEAR Momentum Rotation

NEAR Momentum Rotation

ActiveCryptoBybit
LFlukas.fVerified+·Momentum rotation · weeklyView trader
Return 12m
+36.4%
694 days of history
Max drawdown
24.0%
Current 10.9%
Sortino
2.71
Sharpe 1.77 · PSR 0.99
Compliance
18/23
78% of Epochs kept
Risk score
74
74 · High
Capacity used
33%
53/163 seats · $490k
OverviewAnalyticsSimulatorSeat ContractCapacity & SeatsFollowers' resultsEpochs

Trade analytics

Last 30 closed trades · risk measured at the initial stop

1 risk flag
Avg risk / trade
1.06%
median 1.05% · max 1.39%
Avg planned R:R
1 : 1.94
target distance ÷ stop distance
Realized R:R
1 : 1.74
avg win +1.52R · avg loss −0.87R
Expectancy
+0.24R
per trade
SQN
1.05
Poor
Kelly fraction
16.0%
optimal f · use ¼–½ in practice
Win rate
46.7%
profit factor 1.52
Consecutive W / L
6 / 4
longest streaks
Largest win / loss
+2.2R / −1.5R
Avg hold
6.9d / 10.4d
winners / losers
Avg MAE / MFE
0.61R / 1.04R
adverse / favorable excursion
Capture ratio
86%
of MFE kept by winners

R-multiple distribution

How many trades ended at each multiple of initial risk

Cumulative R

Trade-by-trade equity in R units · total +7.3R

Risk per trade

% of equity at risk on each trade, with the average line

Performance by time

Total R by day of week or close hour (UTC)

Long vs short

LongShort
Trades1812
Win rate33%67%
Expectancy−0.14R+0.82R
Total R−2.6R+9.8R
Equity PnL−1.2%+10.6%

Recent trades

ClosedInstrumentRiskPlan R:RResultHold
Oct 5, 03:55NEAR long1.32%1:2.2−0.83R10.3d
Aug 14, 00:07SOL short1.06%1:2.0−0.76R3.8d
Apr 27, 22:24INJ long0.87%1:2.1−0.81R26.3d
Mar 19, 13:39SOL short1.12%1:1.6−0.64R7.5d
Feb 6, 23:56SOL short1.05%1:2.0+1.73R5.0d
Feb 3, 23:14SOL short1.03%1:1.8−0.70R24.5d
Jan 30, 09:32NEAR long0.88%1:1.7+0.95R4.6d
Jan 23, 20:39INJ long1.08%1:2.2−0.88R2.9d
Jan 19, 19:50NEAR short0.89%1:2.0+1.16R18.8d
Jan 16, 17:32INJ long1.05%1:1.7−0.91R22.2d
Dec 11, 02:29NEAR long1.23%1:1.9+1.05R9.4h
Nov 22, 13:23TIA short1.20%1:2.0+2.15R4.9d

Performance statistics

Based on 30 trades over 694 days. Metric set v1.4 · recomputable from raw exchange data.Thin sample — treat with caution

Trailing returns

Strategy NAV, realized follower results after costs, and BTC over the same windows

Period1W1M3M6MYTD1YAll
Strategy−1.2%+3.3%+13.5%+31.9%+36.6%+36.4%+191.2%
Followers−1.2%+3.3%+13.5%+31.8%+36.6%+36.3%+191.0%
BTC+0.4%+1.0%+11.3%+71.2%+55.7%+69.5%+223.0%
Excess vs BTC−1.6%+2.3%+2.2%−39.3%−19.1%−33.1%−31.7%

Returns

Return 1m
+3.3%
Return 3m
+13.5%
Return 12m
+36.4%
Return since start
+191.2%
CAGR
+75.4%

Risk

Max drawdown
24.0%
Volatility (ann.)
35.2%
Downside deviation
23.0%
Ulcer index
8.34%
VaR / CVaR 95% (daily)
2.71% / 3.66%
VaR / CVaR 99% (daily)
4.59% / 5.73%
Longest time under water
127 days
Max / avg leverage
4.9x / 2.2x
Top-3 trades share of PnL
25%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
1.77
Sortino
2.71
Calmar
3.14
Recovery factor
7.97
Probabilistic Sharpe (PSR)
0.99
Omega ratio
1.27
Gain-to-pain
0.27

Trades

Trades
30
Win rate
44%
Payoff ratio
1.78
Profit factor
1.40
Expectancy
58 bps
Tail ratio
3.5
Avg holding time
9.0 d

Consistency

Profitable months
71%
Equity curve R²
0.90
Longest losing streak
9 days
Skew / kurtosis
0.05 / 4.7
Consistency score
46/100

Benchmark (vs BTC)

Beta
0.27
Alpha (ann.)
+41.6%
Correlation / R²
0.42 / 0.18
Up / down capture
32% / 21%
Tracking error
51.3%
Information ratio
-0.28

Strategy vs BTC

Daily return pairs with the regression fit (slope = beta), and how beta and correlation change over time

Daily return pair365 daysFit · β0.27

BTC daily return →

Rolling 90-day beta & correlation
Oct 6, 2026Beta0.29Correlation0.38

Rolling risk-adjusted performance

90-day rolling Sharpe ratio and annualized volatility, synced

Oct 6, 2026Sharpe 90d1.55Volatility 90d37.6%
Volatility (ann.)

Return distribution

Daily returns vs a fitted normal curve — bars beyond the curve are fat-tail days

Up daysDown daysNormal fitVaR 95%−2.71%

Worst drawdowns

The five deepest peak-to-trough episodes and how long recovery took

#DepthPeakTroughRecoveredDeclineRecovery
1
−24.0%
Sep 19, 2025Nov 24, 2025Jan 25, 202666 d62 d
2
−19.2%
Apr 1, 2026May 14, 2026Jun 16, 202643 d33 d
3
−16.2%
Aug 3, 2026Sep 13, 2026Ongoing41 d—
4
−14.9%
May 26, 2025Jun 11, 2025Jul 6, 202516 d25 d
5
−13.8%
Jan 31, 2026Mar 16, 2026Apr 1, 202644 d16 d

Day-of-week profile

Average daily return and share of up days by weekday

Share of up days
53%
49%
57%
61%
55%
55%
54%

Exposure

Gross exposure, % of equity (last 120 days), and where it sits

Gross exposure111% of equityPeak183%
Average share of exposure
  • NEAR36% · 41.8%
  • SOL27% · 31.8%
  • INJ15% · 17.4%
  • TIA12% · 13.6%
  • OP10% · 11.4%

Performance by instrument

Share of net PnL

Seat price30 days
30.53USDC

Price rises as seats fill · locked for your term

Copy up to $3,000

1
Base price
29.00 USDC / 30d
Term factor (30/30)^0.9
× 1.000
Occupancy factor 1 + 0.5 × 32.5%²
× 1.053
Total
30.53 USDC
53/163 seats110 free
  • Held in escrow until Oct 20, 2026
  • Released to the trader if the Seat Contract is kept
  • Refunded to you if the contract is breached
Trade Seats on the Seat Market→ Simulate with your Risk Engine→

Minimum account size $1,000 · What is a Seat?

from
30.53 USDC