Last 30 closed trades · risk measured at the initial stop
How many trades ended at each multiple of initial risk
Trade-by-trade equity in R units · total +10.4R
% of equity at risk on each trade, with the average line
Total R by day of week or close hour (UTC)
| Long | Short | |
|---|---|---|
| Trades | 16 | 14 |
| Win rate | 100% | 79% |
| Expectancy | +0.47R | +0.21R |
| Total R | +7.5R | +2.9R |
| Equity PnL | +3.2% | +1.2% |
| Closed | Instrument | Risk | Plan R:R | Result | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 16:28 | SOL long | 0.37% | 1:0.5 | +0.51R | 5.6d |
| Sep 4, 20:06 | SOL short | 0.33% | 1:0.5 | +0.30R | 23.8d |
| Jun 14, 15:58 | SOL long | 0.45% | 1:0.4 | +0.39R | 29.5d |
| May 24, 19:51 | SOL long | 0.41% | 1:0.6 | +0.65R | 5.7d |
| May 7, 04:10 | SOL long | 0.43% | 1:0.6 | +0.57R | 20.1d |
| Apr 18, 20:05 | SOL long | 0.34% | 1:0.5 | +0.46R | 13.3d |
| Mar 30, 01:44 | SOL short | 0.45% | 1:0.4 | +0.24R | 10.4d |
| Mar 6, 21:24 | SOL long | 0.40% | 1:0.6 | +0.39R | 9.7h |
| Feb 8, 10:16 | SOL short | 0.55% | 1:0.6 | +0.60R | 36.5d |
| Jan 28, 14:32 | SOL long | 0.46% | 1:0.5 | +0.39R | 52.6d |
| Jan 16, 11:18 | SOL long | 0.39% | 1:0.6 | +0.68R | 22.3d |
| Jan 3, 09:29 | SOL long | 0.42% | 1:0.6 | +0.48R | 8.8d |
Strategy NAV, realized follower results after costs, and BTC over the same windows
| Period | 1W | 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | −1.3% | −3.2% | −1.4% | +5.9% | +15.1% | +18.6% | +41.9% |
| Followers | −1.3% | −3.2% | −1.4% | +5.9% | +15.1% | +18.6% | +41.8% |
| BTC | +0.4% | +1.0% | +11.3% | +71.2% | +55.7% | +69.5% | +144.0% |
| Excess vs BTC | −1.7% | −4.2% | −12.6% | −65.3% | −40.6% | −50.9% | −102.1% |
Daily return pairs with the regression fit (slope = beta), and how beta and correlation change over time
BTC daily return →
90-day rolling Sharpe ratio and annualized volatility, synced
Daily returns vs a fitted normal curve — bars beyond the curve are fat-tail days
The five deepest peak-to-trough episodes and how long recovery took
| # | Depth | Peak | Trough | Recovered | Decline | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | −4.8% | Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 4, 2026 | Ongoing | 11 d | — |
| 2 | −2.9% | Apr 16, 2026 | May 1, 2026 | May 16, 2026 | 15 d | 15 d |
| 3 | −2.8% | Jul 19, 2026 | Aug 7, 2026 | Aug 28, 2026 | 19 d | 21 d |
| 4 | −2.5% | Apr 19, 2025 | Apr 24, 2025 | May 17, 2025 | 5 d | 23 d |
| 5 | −2.1% | Jun 12, 2025 | Jul 4, 2025 | Jul 15, 2025 | 22 d | 11 d |
Average daily return and share of up days by weekday
Gross exposure, % of equity (last 120 days), and where it sits
Share of net PnL