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© 2026 PropChangeBuilt on Solana

Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seat Contracts limit behavior; they do not guarantee profit.

OperationalRisk Engine 14msEpoch ends in —Solanaslot —· 0.4s
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
EURGBP London Breakout v278.47+8.70%SOL Funding Carry Plus79.58+8.10%SOL Funding Carry73.91+8.30%ETH Scalper77.06-2.20%USDCAD Session Fade v269.33-0.50%ETH Funding Carry Lite72.95+1.30%BTC Funding Carry X84.49+0.80%EURUSD London Breakout55.36+8.40%Pairs73.56+7.70%Index Carry & Roll18.74+0.90%AI Leaders Momentum58.43-2.90%USDCAD Session Fade71.58-1.90%BTC Basis Arb28.50-2.80%BTC Funding Carry v276.22+5.10%
DocsFees--:--:-- UTC
StrategiesSeat MarketLeaderboardHow it worksFees
Strategiestomas.nXRP Trend Plus

XRP Trend Plus

ActiveCryptoBybit
TNtomas.nVerified·Trend · daysView trader
Return 12m
+49.5%
459 days of history
Max drawdown
17.2%
Current 5.1%
Sortino
2.58
Sharpe 1.66 · PSR 0.97
Compliance
14/15
93% of Epochs kept
Risk score
48
48 · Medium
Capacity used
14%
43/303 seats · $910k
OverviewAnalyticsSimulatorSeat ContractCapacity & SeatsFollowers' resultsEpochs

Trade analytics

Last 30 closed trades · risk measured at the initial stop

Avg risk / trade
0.79%
median 0.82% · max 1.02%
Avg planned R:R
1 : 2.18
target distance ÷ stop distance
Realized R:R
1 : 2.36
avg win +1.96R · avg loss −0.83R
Expectancy
+0.57R
per trade
SQN
2.13
Good
Kelly fraction
28.9%
optimal f · use ¼–½ in practice
Win rate
50.0%
profit factor 2.36
Consecutive W / L
3 / 3
longest streaks
Largest win / loss
+2.7R / −1.2R
Avg hold
10.2d / 6.9d
winners / losers
Avg MAE / MFE
0.61R / 1.38R
adverse / favorable excursion
Capture ratio
82%
of MFE kept by winners

R-multiple distribution

How many trades ended at each multiple of initial risk

Cumulative R

Trade-by-trade equity in R units · total +17.0R

Risk per trade

% of equity at risk on each trade, with the average line

Performance by time

Total R by day of week or close hour (UTC)

Long vs short

LongShort
Trades228
Win rate50%50%
Expectancy+0.51R+0.72R
Total R+11.2R+5.8R
Equity PnL+8.3%+5.1%

Recent trades

ClosedInstrumentRiskPlan R:RResultHold
Oct 3, 18:15XRP long0.68%1:2.5+2.06R1.8d
Sep 25, 20:19XRP long0.92%1:2.0+1.18R7.3d
Aug 15, 19:49XRP long0.82%1:1.8−0.73R2.8d
Jul 27, 19:18SOL long0.90%1:2.1−0.71R8.9d
Jul 13, 09:28XRP long0.65%1:2.5+2.32R12.1h
Jul 3, 05:52ETH long0.68%1:2.1−0.99R1.6d
May 31, 13:56SOL long0.73%1:2.6−0.86R2.4d
May 28, 22:20XRP long0.85%1:2.6−0.75R8.9h
May 16, 20:19SOL long0.87%1:2.1+2.38R6.1d
Apr 2, 10:14XRP long0.72%1:2.2+2.13R2.0d
Jan 29, 14:09XRP long0.69%1:2.5−0.93R8.0d
Jan 27, 17:30SOL long0.70%1:2.0+1.36R39.4d

Performance statistics

Based on 30 trades over 459 days. Metric set v1.4 · recomputable from raw exchange data.Thin sample — treat with caution

Trailing returns

Strategy NAV, realized follower results after costs, and BTC over the same windows

Period1W1M3M6MYTD1YAll
Strategy−2.1%−2.0%+31.9%+30.6%+36.8%+49.5%+60.6%
Followers−2.1%−2.0%+31.9%+30.6%+36.7%+49.4%+60.5%
BTC+0.4%+1.0%+11.3%+71.2%+55.7%+69.5%+141.6%
Excess vs BTC−2.5%−3.0%+20.6%−40.6%−18.9%−20.0%−81.0%

Returns

Return 1m
−2.0%
Return 3m
+31.9%
Return 12m
+49.5%
Return since start
+60.6%
CAGR
+45.7%

Risk

Max drawdown
17.2%
Volatility (ann.)
24.6%
Downside deviation
15.7%
Ulcer index
6.65%
VaR / CVaR 95% (daily)
2.01% / 2.46%
VaR / CVaR 99% (daily)
3.08% / 3.31%
Longest time under water
157 days
Max / avg leverage
3.9x / 1.8x
Top-3 trades share of PnL
19%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
1.66
Sortino
2.58
Calmar
2.66
Recovery factor
3.52
Probabilistic Sharpe (PSR)
0.97
Omega ratio
1.25
Gain-to-pain
0.25

Trades

Trades
30
Win rate
46%
Payoff ratio
2.04
Profit factor
1.74
Expectancy
52 bps
Tail ratio
2.8
Avg holding time
6.9 d

Consistency

Profitable months
63%
Equity curve R²
0.57
Longest losing streak
8 days
Skew / kurtosis
0.26 / 3.9
Consistency score
68/100

Benchmark (vs BTC)

Beta
0.19
Alpha (ann.)
+24.7%
Correlation / R²
0.43 / 0.18
Up / down capture
24% / 19%
Tracking error
51.0%
Information ratio
-0.89

Strategy vs BTC

Daily return pairs with the regression fit (slope = beta), and how beta and correlation change over time

Daily return pair365 daysFit · β0.19

BTC daily return →

Rolling 90-day beta & correlation
Oct 5, 2026Beta0.13Correlation0.28

Rolling risk-adjusted performance

90-day rolling Sharpe ratio and annualized volatility, synced

Oct 5, 2026Sharpe 90d5.04Volatility 90d23.2%
Volatility (ann.)

Return distribution

Daily returns vs a fitted normal curve — bars beyond the curve are fat-tail days

Up daysDown daysNormal fitVaR 95%−2.01%

Worst drawdowns

The five deepest peak-to-trough episodes and how long recovery took

#DepthPeakTroughRecoveredDeclineRecovery
1
−17.2%
Feb 7, 2026Jun 5, 2026Jul 15, 2026118 d40 d
2
−11.8%
Aug 9, 2025Sep 21, 2025Oct 27, 202543 d36 d
3
−11.1%
Oct 31, 2025Dec 9, 2025Jan 4, 202639 d26 d
4
−9.4%
Jan 10, 2026Jan 15, 2026Jan 25, 20265 d10 d
5
−8.8%
Aug 26, 2026Sep 14, 2026Ongoing19 d—

Day-of-week profile

Average daily return and share of up days by weekday

Share of up days
48%
53%
60%
43%
63%
55%
42%

Exposure

Gross exposure, % of equity (last 120 days), and where it sits

Gross exposure123% of equityPeak200%
Average share of exposure
  • XRP70% · 89.9%
  • ETH25% · 31.7%
  • SOL6% · 7.1%

Performance by instrument

Share of net PnL

Seat price30 days
34.34USDC

Price rises as seats fill · locked for your term

Copy up to $3,000

1
Base price
34.00 USDC / 30d
Term factor (30/30)^0.9
× 1.000
Occupancy factor 1 + 0.5 × 14.2%²
× 1.010
Total
34.34 USDC
43/303 seats260 free
  • Held in escrow until Oct 25, 2026
  • Released to the trader if the Seat Contract is kept
  • Refunded to you if the contract is breached
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from
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